NCAA Women's Bracketology

Post info or Comments: UMaine Athletics

NCAA Women's Bracketology

Postby mainejeff » Fri Mar 01, 2019 10:11 am

Here is the link to the now infamous Charlie Creme bracket:

http://www.espn.com/womens-college-bask ... acketology

There has been a lot of movement this week in the women's RPI:

http://realtimerpi.com/college_Women_ba ... _rpi2.html

And here is the Warren Nolan version:

http://warrennolan.com/basketballw/2019/rpi-live

Maine is now 57 in Warren Nolan and 58 in RealTime.

Creme 13 seed Wright State fell 12 spots last night to #70 after they beat #331 Detroit Mercy by 3 points. So those arguing that Maine's RPI will fall when playing low ranked teams (upcoming Binghamton & AE first round opponent) will also see those other seeds RPIs fall as well when they play their weak conference opponents.

I still think that we are looking at a 12 seed if Maine wins out. That UNC win will loom large. ;)
User avatar
mainejeff
 
Posts: 14751
Joined: Fri May 09, 2008 3:20 pm

Re: NCAA Women's Bracketology

Postby dunbar » Fri Mar 01, 2019 10:36 am

The biggest thing with a 12 seed over a 13 is playing on a neutral court. Assuming that all 16 seeds are able to host a first and second round pod, to get into the 12 seed line is huge.

That being said, the committee has moved teams up and down one seed line in order to regionalize and keep a bus trip (see Maine 1995 and Albany 2017 at Connecticut) Fortunately, for Maine, they won't drop to a 16 and be sent to Storrs, so a flight will happen regardless. I'm thinking the most likely trips would be to College Park, Charlotte (Gamecocks are hosting first and second round games in Columbia, but were approved to host in NC), or Miami.
dunbar
 
Posts: 5216
Joined: Tue Feb 01, 2011 8:21 pm

Re: NCAA Women's Bracketology

Postby GoBlackBears » Fri Mar 01, 2019 11:28 am

Maryland wouldn't be too far. At least fans could drive there.
GoBlackBears
 
Posts: 713
Joined: Fri May 30, 2008 3:21 pm

Re: NCAA Women's Bracketology

Postby Justabasketballfan » Fri Mar 01, 2019 11:59 am

Of course, less-than-brilliant analysis by mainejeff.
He still strongly believes that the Maine women will get a 12 seed.
I'm willing to bet him that they won't.
I've proposed a $50 donation to the school's athletic fund. Loser donates $50.
I've made the offer at least five or six times.
But, mainejeff apparently doesn't have the conviction to accept.
Justabasketballfan
 
Posts: 255
Joined: Sun Jan 13, 2019 12:55 pm

Re: NCAA Women's Bracketology

Postby parquetfloor » Fri Mar 01, 2019 11:59 am

And here is the link to the official NCAA RPI:

https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/basketball-women/d1/ncaa-womens-basketball-rpi

Over the last week/week and a half, I believe at least half of the teams expected to be seeded in the 1-16 range lost a game or 2. Things are certainly very fluid (as they usually are) as teams try to get into one of those coveted hosting seeds. Basically, Maine will be traveling to someone on the 3 or 4 seed lines. 11 & 14 seeds will go to a 3 seed while 12 & 13 will go to a 4 seed. I cannot see Maine being lower than a 14.

Teams that appear to be in that mix (Creme's latest 3, 4 and 5 seeds):

Miami
Iowa
Oregon State
Maryland

Marquette
Gonzaga
South Carolina
Iowa State

Kentucky
Syracuse
Florida State
Texas A&M

Of the current 2 seeds, I could see NC State possibly falling down to a 3

* Edit: I don't see any of Notre Dame, Baylor, UConn, Mississippi State, Louisville, Oregon or Stanford falling from the 1/2 seed lines onto the 3 line.
parquetfloor
 
Posts: 2371
Joined: Fri Apr 08, 2011 2:41 pm

Re: NCAA Women's Bracketology

Postby driveandive » Fri Mar 01, 2019 12:19 pm

Let's just hope they get a seed.
User avatar
driveandive
 
Posts: 1162
Joined: Fri May 30, 2008 2:18 pm

Re: NCAA Women's Bracketology

Postby mainejeff » Sat Mar 02, 2019 11:36 pm

Maine rises to #55 in the RPI rankings after today's win over Binghamton. According to our resident dum-dum....they are supposed to be falling like a rock! :roll: :oops:
User avatar
mainejeff
 
Posts: 14751
Joined: Fri May 09, 2008 3:20 pm

Re: NCAA Women's Bracketology

Postby Justabasketballfan » Sun Mar 03, 2019 9:56 am

And, the bet still stands, mainejeff ...
If you're so strong in your opinion that Maine will get a 12 seed, accept the bet.
That's called putting your money where your mouth is.
You're good with the mouth, but you fail at backing up your conviction.
I'd say that makes you the "resident dum-dum."
Justabasketballfan
 
Posts: 255
Joined: Sun Jan 13, 2019 12:55 pm

Re: NCAA Women's Bracketology

Postby basketball_guy » Sun Mar 03, 2019 1:52 pm

Re: NCAA Women's Bracketology
by parquetfloor » 01 Mar 2019 15:59
And here is the link to the official NCAA RPI:

https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/basketbal ... etball-rpi

Over the last week/week and a half, I believe at least half of the teams expected to be seeded in the 1-16 range lost a game or 2. Things are certainly very fluid (as they usually are) as teams try to get into one of those coveted hosting seeds. Basically, Maine will be traveling to someone on the 3 or 4 seed lines. 11 & 14 seeds will go to a 3 seed while 12 & 13 will go to a 4 seed. I cannot see Maine being lower than a 14.

Teams that appear to be in that mix (Creme's latest 3, 4 and 5 seeds):

Miami
Iowa
Oregon State
Maryland

Marquette
Gonzaga
South Carolina
Iowa State

Kentucky
Syracuse
Florida State
Texas A&M

Of the current 2 seeds, I could see NC State possibly falling down to a 3

* Edit: I don't see any of Notre Dame, Baylor, UConn, Mississippi State, Louisville, Oregon or Stanford falling from the 1/2 seed lines onto the 3 line.
parquetfloor

Posts: 2336
Joined: 08 Apr 2011 18:41


Nice Job on the bracket breakdowns.

It would be nice if Maine got Syracuse...Wishful thinking I guess.
User avatar
basketball_guy
 
Posts: 644
Joined: Sun Mar 12, 2017 12:17 am

Re: NCAA Women's Bracketology

Postby dunbar » Mon Mar 04, 2019 1:10 pm

I think Maine gets matched up with Maryland, even if that means Maine gets dropped to a 14. The precedent of moving teams up and down one seed line to accommodate regionalization always seems to hold.
dunbar
 
Posts: 5216
Joined: Tue Feb 01, 2011 8:21 pm

Next

Return to UMaine D1 Athletics

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: CoachA, thebam and 52 guests